Number of NCR COVID-19 reproductions decreases – OCTA Research
MANILA, Philippines – The number of COVID-19 reproductions in Metro Manila is on the decline, a senior researcher at independent pandemic monitor OCTA Research said Thursday.
According to Guido David, Metro Manila’s current reproduction number, or the average number of people who could be infected with a positive case, has increased to 1.28 from 1.34 previously.
“The number of NCR reproductions has decreased to 1.28 (with a margin of error of up to +0.05). The one-week growth rate decreased to 9%. NCR hasn’t peaked yet, but there is hope it will happen in 1-2 weeks, ”he said in a tweet.
9.16.21 The number of NCR reproductions has decreased to 1.28 (with a margin of error of up to +0.05). The one-week growth rate decreased to 9%. NCR is yet to peak at its peak, but there is hope it will happen in 1 to 2 weeks. @dzbb @cnnphilippines @allangatus @dzrhnews @NewsRmn @smninenews @ dwiz882 @ News5PH pic.twitter.com/04qQ20S5Jc
– Dr Guido David (@iamguidodavid) September 15, 2021
In a separate tweet Wednesday, David said the seven-day average of new cases in the region was 5,854 with a one-week growth rate of 11% and a reproduction number of 1.34.
He also said the number of reproductions of COVID-19 cases in metro Manila was 1.39 last week.
The Department of Health (DOH) has yet to confirm whether this means COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila are on the decline following the implementation of lockdowns and other health measures.
Metro Manila had 48,381 active cases of the disease as of Wednesday, according to the DOH tracker. Nationwide, there are 170,446 active cases of COVID-19.
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